The Year of 2018 is The Political Year - Jurnal Intelijen [PDF]

Sep 7, 2017 - However he still needs the strong electability to win the battle and the essential factor of his electabil

3 downloads 35 Views 308KB Size

Recommend Stories


Political Science First Year Second Year Third Year Fourth Year
No amount of guilt can solve the past, and no amount of anxiety can change the future. Anonymous

Political Science First Year Second Year Third Year Fourth Year
You have to expect things of yourself before you can do them. Michael Jordan

The Liturgical Year 2017-2018
Seek knowledge from cradle to the grave. Prophet Muhammad (Peace be upon him)

The Academic year 2017-2018
The happiest people don't have the best of everything, they just make the best of everything. Anony

the 2017-2018 school year!
I want to sing like the birds sing, not worrying about who hears or what they think. Rumi

YEAR:2018
Life is not meant to be easy, my child; but take courage: it can be delightful. George Bernard Shaw

winemaker of the year
If your life's work can be accomplished in your lifetime, you're not thinking big enough. Wes Jacks

punter of the year
If you feel beautiful, then you are. Even if you don't, you still are. Terri Guillemets

Year of the Bible
Your task is not to seek for love, but merely to seek and find all the barriers within yourself that

Officer of the Year
Love only grows by sharing. You can only have more for yourself by giving it away to others. Brian

Idea Transcript


NDAY 21ST JANUARY 2018

Search

Ancaman dan Optimisme Keamanan di Tahun 2017

Home

Defence and Security

Issues

Knowledge

Business Intelligence

English

About Us

Home

Homepage

English Political

The

Year of 2018 is The Political Year

The Year of 2018 is The Political Year By: Soedibyo On: September 7, 2017

Search



Prev Next Popular

Comments

Kesaksian Seorang Serdadu Baret Merah, Dari Balibo Hingga Santa Cruz Posted on: 6 July 2015

Mengenal Terorisme Posted on: 7 September 2015

Usulan

The Government that run by the Cabinet Coalition is politically working for the preparation to attract the heart of the people to face the General Election and the Presidential Election in the year of 2019. It means the people has to feel satisfy with the result of the Cabinet’s working after ruling the country for five years.

Reformasi Polri Posted on: 21 June 2016

Accordingly specifically President Jokowi said, the year of 2018 is the political year, that likely means all the Ministries have to work hard since now so in 2018 the people will feel politically satisfy to the presence of the President Jokowi’s government. As the further political event, the ruling Political Parties led by President Jokowi are expected to be re-elected as the further ruling Cabinet Coalition led by President Jokowi as the eight President of The Republic of Indonesia for five more years (2019-2024)

BIN Merekrut Ribuan Intel Sebelum Pilkada?

Also Minister of Home Affairs Tjahyo Kumolo, who is the former Secretary General of PDI-P openly said that all the Ministers members of Government Coalition though to be coming from different political parties they should work to finish the mission of their respective Ministry successfully as the supporters of the government.

Posted on: 19 June 2016

The expectation of President Jokowi and Minister of Home Affairs Tjahyo Kumolo is normal expectation however it is also the realistic consideration that though President Jokowi is very popular and as if people will elect him as the President of the period of 2019-2024, but President Jokowi likely also objectively recognizes the achievement of his Cabinet is still far bellow his campaign promises as stated in the Nawacita as the Official Program of his Cabinet.

Posted on: 17 July 2015

Tidak Perlu Ragu Terhadap Tito Karnavian

Hubungan Ketidaksehatan Jiwa dengan Terorisme Posted on: 20 September 2015

Lebih bijak menyikapi mawon Comment by: sigjt jagger pawiro

Most of observers were of the opinion President Jokowi in his yearly speech as he presented in front of the House of Representatives plenum meeting on August 16, 2017 was not completely describing the general report on the national development program in the respective annual achievement describing what have been achieved and what are still needed the strong struggle to achieve all of the national development target. President Jokowi definitely had presented the various achievement but without clearly describing the position of the achievement in the short, medium and long range national dvelopment program. So it is clear President did not describe the achievement and what struggle we should face to completely finish the national development.

Kita berdoa semoga semua berja

Political analyst are of belief in connection with the political year of 2018 and finally in 2019 President Jokowi needs not only his wide popularity but also mainly his high electability to win the Presidential Election of 2019. Now the popularity of President Jokowi is definitely wider than his possible rivals in the Presidential Election of 2019.

Comment by: Tito

However he still needs the strong electability to win the battle and the essential factor of his electability are the complete achievement of the Government National Development Program as described in Nawacita. Accordingly the reminding of President Jokowi to all his Ministers to work professionally to achieve the goals needed by all the Citizens is very serious instruction for the Cabinet Coalition members. The people’s satisfaction will become the main factor to built the strong electability of President Jokowi and all the Cabinet Coalition members Political Parties. President Jokowi definitely realizes the complete achievement of the medium term (five years) of the national development program is the essential element to keep his popularity permanently wide and to build the electability for the General Election and mainly in the Presidential Election in 2019 become higher. Minister of Home Affairs is also definitely aware of this situation accordingly he demands all the members of the Cabinet Coalition faithfully perform his mission to finish successfully a part of the Government mission allocated to all the members of the Cabinet Coalition.

Comment by: Aris

Analisanya tdk gunakan trend k Comment by: Amping

The recent expansion of the Pr Comment by: stitchilicious

Berani tidak Dikenal, Mati tid

Apik tenan Mas Banyak kasus y Comment by: Aris

sedih membaca penuturan perwir Comment by: John

Silakan, semoga bermanfaat. Comment by: Administrator

Artikelnya bagus. Ijin untuk r Comment by: Gabriel Dwi

innalillahi Comment by: fia

semoga anak buahnya yg lain jg Comment by: Michelle

Mantap.. * Perlu untuk di i Comment by: Bambang wi

Untuk hasil yang memuaskan seb

Skillfully Minister of Home Affairs Tjahyo Kumolo touched Vice President JK to actively become Comment by: Bambang wi the leader of President Jokowi success team in the coming Presidential Election. Definitely that kind of political activity is unlikely possible because Vice President JK is also potential to become Luar biasa analisisis dan alur the Presidential Candidate in the coming Presidential Election. However Minister Tjahyo Kumolo Comment by: Bambang clarified it as his personal idea but he is definitely expecting Vice President JK to actively watch, control and supervise all the Cabinet members to work hard and seriously. indonesi merupakan bayak olak The year of 2018 and 2019 have been likely too close for the Cabinet reshuffle. Accordingly it seems likely President Jokowi will not conduct the Tird Cabinet Reshuffle to finish this Presidential term except any one of the Ministers to resign for joining the Regional Election. Vulnerable Factors Concerning the effort to strengthen of his Electability, President Jokowi definitely should evaluate the weakness or the vulnerable factors existing in his implementation of his Government National Program, namely Nawacita as he promised in his Presidential Election campaign in 2014. According to Muchtar Effendi Harahap, one Political Observer of the Network for South East Asia Studies (NSEAS) there are four factors affecting the decrease of the electability of President Jokowi to day namely: First, the failure of President Jokowi to fulfill his campaign promises to perform the People’s Welfare. In relation to the above reason, the failure of President Jokowi to manage his government in relation with the National Medium Development Planning (five years), apparently to have been affecting the more difficult situation of the economic life of the people, this is definitely very essential. Second, the publish of the Political Government Regulation to suppress and to dissolve the Moslem mass organization and to criminalize the Moslem activist and Ulema.” (who are considered as radical and are against the Pancasila National Philosophy). The publish of the Government Regulation No 2 of 2017 to replace Law No 17 of 2003 on Mass Organization, which is now evaluated by the Constitution Court has been felt by the Moslem in general as the effort to weaken the role and the political influence of the Moslem society. The Moslem society is considered as the majority of the Citizens. The third factor is the growing resistance and negative attitude especially among Moslem group, and the middle class society in the City in connection with the existing contradictory situation to the campaign promises of President Jokowi. The fourth factor is apparently caused by the failure of the regional and local supporting political party’s infrastructure (members of the Cabinet Coalition) to attract their followers in their respective constituent to uphold President Jokowi’s image. Those four analysis should not be considered as hoax but a feedback that are good for further re-evaluation and correction of working. Aside of that political analysis the various rough observation are also indicating the sporadic indication of the lack of economic program dealing with the effort to absorb the job seekers and reducing the jobless as the significant part to perform the people’s welfare. The Good expectations to Jokowi Qualitatively the evaluation is describing the Political and Economic Situation within almost the last three years are not creating the good expectations :President Jokowi apparently did not established his Cabinet based on Professionalism but more based on the take and give principles among the Political Parties suporting his government. His effort to create the strong Parliamentary spport to have pushed him to establish his Cabinet based on more Political Party interest. The credible support of the members of the Cabinet Coalition is doubted, affected by the internal problem of the respective political party such as the internal dispute in the Golkar Party caused by the problem of Setyo Novanto; PKB which apparently does not support Chofifah in the Regional Election in East Jawa; PPP wich is still in the leadership conflict; PAN which supports the Cabinet but does not support Pres Jokowi in 2019 Presidential Election, Nasdem and Hanura Party are likely the only supporting political party expected to really give support to Presiden Jokowi, but not spectacularly. The development of the strategic infrfa structure is important but the increasing number of the foreign debt is not the good image of the present Government because it definitely become the increasing of the national burden. Foreign trade is still negatively imbalance this is indicating export is low because the domestic industry is not progressing and the job vacant are still low and the jobless are stll high. The increasing number of stock of fish for export has not yet increased the income of the fishermen. The expensive price of food in general is indicating the slow progress of agricutural product. The life of the low level group of the society is harder with the payment capabilty are apparently low. The objective number of poor peole has never been made. In general the good image is only in the development of heavy infra structure mainly road and transportation but lack of industrial infrastructure building such as the water dam and the electric power. Definitely without spectacular changing in the daily economic life the image of President’s Jokowi government both politically and economically are considered worse than the previous years under the previous Government. Not much changing likely could be achieved within one year. Since the popularity does not mean directly to build the electability, the political scenario of single Presidential Candidate in the Presidential Election in 2019 is not likely visible. Tjahyo Kumolo (Minister of Home Affairs) personally predicts there will be likely three Presidential Candidates in the Presidential Election in 2019. *) Lieutenant General TNI (Ret) Soedibyo, Political and Security Observer in Jakarta.

Share This:







Tweet

Related Posts

TNI Must Be Involved In Counter Measures Against Terrorism Pernyataan Sikap Bersama Indonesia Corruption Watch Dan Persatuan Bantuan Hukum Indonesia Terkait Penangkapan Friedrich Yunadi Oleh KPKKpk Polemik La Nyalla, Prabowo Subianto, Gerindra Dan Alumni 212 Ambruknya Selasar BEI Tiga Tahun Kegagalan Jokowi-Jk Dalam Mengelola Negara

MOST VIEW ARTICLE Kesaksian Seorang Serdadu Baret Merah, Dari Balibo Hing - 34483 Views Teknik Penyamaran dalam Klandestin - 21328 Views Metode Percakapan dalam Klandestin - 8281 Views Mau Jadi Agen Intelijen ? Baca Buku ini ! - 3574 Views Peran Intelkam Polri Dalam Pencegahan Terorisme - 3148 Views

SUBSCRIBE verba volant scripta manent Email address

Twitter Facebook

Submit

Comment by: wawan ibrahim

CONTRIBUTORS

Stanislaus Riyanta (168) Toni Ervianto (87) Muhammad A S Hikam (77) Administrator (69) Soedibyo (65) Wildan Nasution (57) Otjih Sewandarijatun (38) Bayu Kusuma (34) Erlangga Pratama (28) Amril Djambak (28) Datuak Tjumano (26) Kurniadi (19) Agung Virdianto (19) Iqbal Fadillah (16) Almira Fadillah (16) Nobel Hiroyama (15) Toas H (15) Arif Rahman (15) Agung Wahyudin (14) Herdiansyah Rahman (12)

JURNAL INTELIJEN Jurnal Intelijen adalah media yang menyajikan informasi dan analisis intelijen yang bersifat deteksi dini dan cegah dini. Selain itu akan disajikan scenario, foresight, prediksi, dan rekomendasi yang berkaitan dengan eksistensi negara Indonesia. Informasi dan analisis yang disajikan dibuat oleh para praktisi, akademisi dan analis intelijen. Jika berminat mengirimkan karya yang relevan dengan jurnalintelijen.net silakan dikirim melalui email : redaksi [at] jurnalintelijen.net

Copyright © jurnalintelijen.net back to top

Smile Life

When life gives you a hundred reasons to cry, show life that you have a thousand reasons to smile

Get in touch

© Copyright 2015 - 2024 PDFFOX.COM - All rights reserved.