Media Release – July 8th 2009
Najib At 100 Days Survey Peninsular Malaysia, 19 June – 1 July 2009
100 Days of the Najib Administration A Survey of Peninsular Malaysia Voters 19 June – 1 July 2009
1
Media Release – July 8th 2009
Najib At 100 Days Survey Peninsular Malaysia, 19 June – 1 July 2009
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MERDEKA CENTER FOR OPINION RESEARCH 901B Diamond Complex, 43650 Bandar Baru Bangi, Selangor, MALAYSIA Tel: 603 8210 1488/1499 Fax: 603 8210 1466 Email:
[email protected] Web: www.merdeka.org
2
Media Release – July 8th 2009
Najib At 100 Days Survey Peninsular Malaysia, 19 June – 1 July 2009
Methodology •
1060 randomly selected registered voters aged 21+ were interviewed via telephone for the survey
•
Respondents were selected via random stratified sampling method along the lines of state of residence, ethnicity, gender and age
•
Survey was carried out between 19 June – 1 July 2009
•
Survey margin of error estimated at ±3.01%
•
Important events during survey period: Announcement of further economic sector liberalization measures, public discussion of unity govt (and subsequent dismissal of issue by Pakatan/PAS), several schools closed due to A(H1N1) influenza outbreak, indirect campaigning for Manek Urai begins.
Note: Total percentages presented may or may not add up to 100% due to rounding up of figures. 3
Media Release – July 8th 2009
Najib At 100 Days Survey Peninsular Malaysia, 19 June – 1 July 2009
Respondent Profile pt. 1 57% 33%
10%
Malay
Male 51%
Fem ale 49%
Chinese
36% 25%
Indian
18%
50%
12% 7% 21%
15%
11%
3%
1%
No formal
Primary
education
school
Secondary Diploma & school
3%
Degree
equiv alent
No
> RM1500
RM1501 – RM3000
RM3001 – RM5000
< RM5000
Don't know No response
25%
24%
response
57%
16%
14%
10% 5%
24% 9%
3%
3%
Islam
Buddhism Hinduism Christianity
2%
2%
5% Private Civil service Business
None
3%
Taoist
sector
owners
Self employed
Unemployed Student Homemaker Retired Lost ability to work
4
Media Release – July 8th 2009
Najib At 100 Days Survey Peninsular Malaysia, 19 June – 1 July 2009
Respondent Profile pt. 2
Rural 44%
Northern
Central
Eastern
Southern
25%
Urban 56%
66%
19%
19%
At home
19%
6%
6%
38%
Workplace/ At home & school workplace/ school
2%
1%
Other locations
Mobile internet
No internet access
17% 13%
24%
10% 8%
8%
7%
19%
17%
51 - 60
61 and above
15%
7% 5%
5%
25%
4%
Melaka
N. Sembilan
Pahang
Terengganu
Kelantan
Kuala Lumpur
Selangor
Perak
Pulau Pinang
Kedah
Perlis
1%
21 - 30
31 - 40
41 - 50
5
Media Release – July 8th 2009
Najib At 100 Days Survey Peninsular Malaysia, 19 June – 1 July 2009
General Overview
6
Media Release – July 8th 2009
Najib At 100 Days Survey Peninsular Malaysia, 19 June – 1 July 2009
Considering the conditions in the country today, how strongly would you say that things are heading in the right or wrong direction? 80%
66% 60%
48%
45% 37%
51%
29% 39%
26%
38%
18%
Overall (1060)
Malay (600)
Chinese (355)
Right direction
18%
13% Wrong direction
Right direction
8%
18%
25%
Indian (105)
1% DK/ NR
29%
DK/ NR
4% Wrong direction
Right direction
13% 15% DK/ NR
9% Wrong direction
0%
10% Right direction
22%
Wrong direction
28%
20%
27%
DK/ NR
40%
54%
53%
7
Media Release – July 8th 2009
Najib At 100 Days Survey Peninsular Malaysia, 19 June – 1 July 2009
And what would you say is the issue that is the main reason for your answer? Don't know Peaceful/ free from conflicts Continuous development (instructure, economy etc.) The economy has improved No problem Favourable administration Others New PM, new administration Received benefits, a caring government No response Unfavourable economic condition in general Quality of leadership/ politicians Najib's policies (One Malaysia, liberalisation, visited China etc.) Political instability Unfavourable/ unstable administration Political stability Bickering among politicians Better race relations Unfavorable education policies Racial inequality Malay disunity/ Malay issues Social problems (neglecting religion etc.) Price hike/ inflation/ rising cost of living Crime & public safety Worse ethnic relations Corruption Lack of transparency Perak political crisis Does not receive benefits/ uncaring government
Overall 10% 7% 6% 7% 4% 4% 7% 4% 2% 2% 7% 3% 1% 9% 2% 1% 2% 1% 4% 4% 1% 1% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 2% 2%
Right direction 13% 12% 11% 11% 7% 7% 7% 6% 4% 3% 3% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1%
Wrong direction 6% 1% 1%
7%
1% 12% 4% 19% 3% 3% 8% 9% 2% 2% 4% 4% 1% 3% 2% 3% 4%
8
Media Release – July 8th 2009
Najib At 100 Days Survey Peninsular Malaysia, 19 June – 1 July 2009
How confident or not confident are you with Prime Minister Najib Razak's ability in managing the economy? 100%
79%
74%
80%
62% 60%
52%
47%
35% 38%
Overall (1060)
Malay (600)
10%
4%
18%
28%
27% 27% 13% 10% Not confident
Not confident
3%
Confident
13%
DK/ NR
27% Confident
15%
Not confident
6% Confident
0%
18%
DK/ NR
19%
31%
Chinese (355)
5%
3% DK/ NR
16%
20%
Not confident
24%
Confident
42%
DK/ NR
40%
Indian (105)
9
Media Release – July 8th 2009
Najib At 100 Days Survey Peninsular Malaysia, 19 June – 1 July 2009
How confident or not confident are you that Najib is able to lead Malaysia out of this economic recession? 100%
80%
77%
70% 61%
60%
48%
45% 42%
19%
Overall (1060)
36% 26%
27% 29% 16%
Malay (600)
Chinese (355)
5%
2% DK/ NR
8% Not confident
3% Confident
10% DK/ NR
4%
Not confident
26% 15% Confident
Not confident
6% Confident
0%
16% DK/ NR
18%
18%
21%
Confident
20%
33%
DK/ NR
24%
Not confident
40%
40%
Indian (105)
10
Media Release – July 8th 2009
Najib At 100 Days Survey Peninsular Malaysia, 19 June – 1 July 2009
In March 2009, the then Deputy Prime Minister Najib announced a stimulus package to boost the economy. How confident or not confident are you that the stimulus package will achieve its objective? 80%
64%
64% 52%
50%
35%
23%
22%
14% 27% 26% 20% 21% 18% 15% 11% 17% 12% 10% 13% 7% 2%
Overall (1060)
Malay (600)
Chinese (355)
DK/ NR
Not confident
Confident
DK/ NR
Not confident
Confident
DK/ NR
Confident
DK/ NR
18%
Not confident
0%
34%
25% 23%
Confident
20%
38%
43%
34%
40%
Not confident
60%
Indian (105)
11
Media Release – July 8th 2009
Najib At 100 Days Survey Peninsular Malaysia, 19 June – 1 July 2009
To what extent do you think you will benefit or will not benefit from the stimulus package? 77%
80%
22%
43% 17% 55%
Overall (1060)
Chinese (355)
12% DK/ NR
23% 19% Will benefit
DK/ NR
9% Will not benefit
Will benefit
Will not benefit Malay (600)
14% 10% 1% Will benefit
26% 10% 10%
8%
11%
15%
35%
30%
Will not benefit
38%
DK/ NR
0%
29%
58%
35%
Will not benefit
20%
48%
37% 18%
Will benefit
40%
53%
DK/ NR
60%
Indian (105)
12
Media Release – July 8th 2009
Najib At 100 Days Survey Peninsular Malaysia, 19 June – 1 July 2009
How strongly are you satisfied or dissatisfied of the way Najib Razak is performing his job as the Prime Minister? 80%
74%
74%
65% 60%
48%
53% 50%
31%
Overall (1060)
Malay (600)
6%
Chinese (355)
6%
5% DK/ NR
16% 22% 25% Dissatisfied
1%
Dissatisfied
9%
Satisfied
4%
DK/ NR
Dissatisfied
Satisfied
0%
5%
13% DK/ NR
15%
22% 13% Satisfied
17%
25%
Satisfied
17%
20%
22%
46%
DK/ NR
22%
Dissatisfied
40%
49%
Indian (105)
13
Media Release – July 8th 2009
Najib At 100 Days Survey Peninsular Malaysia, 19 June – 1 July 2009
In your view, what is the best thing he has done since he became PM? 40%
Don't know None
8%
Introduced the concept of One Malaysia
8%
Forged better diplomatic relations, stabilize national polit
6%
Friendly to the people
5%
Reviving the economy
5%
Released ISA, HINDRAF detainees
4%
Take care of the people (poor, senior citizens, etc.)
3%
No response
3%
Unites the people
3%
Educational measures (PPSMI, Chinese schools etc.) Projects for infrastructural development, improving public service delivery FELDA related developments
2% 2%
Favourable leadership qualities (fair, firm, caring etc.)
2%
Introduced the economic stimulus package
2%
Introduced financial liberalisation measures
1%
Taking care Malay interests
1%
Arrangement of new Cabinet line-up
1%
Safeguard national security & public safety
1%
Increased salary/ incentive of civil servants & pensioners
1%
2%
14
Media Release – July 8th 2009
Najib At 100 Days Survey Peninsular Malaysia, 19 June – 1 July 2009
In your view, what is the one thing he should have avoided doing since he became PM? Don't know
59%
No problem
11%
No response Others
7% 5%
Perak political crisis
4%
Inequality among races
3%
The Altantuya case
2%
A problematic administration
1%
Releasing ISA detainees
1%
The Johor-Singapore bridge
1%
Price hike
1%
Criticising the Opposition
1%
Wastage of public funds
1%
Malay Special Privileges
1%
The concept of One Malaysia
1%
The concept of UMNO-PAS unity government
1%
The stimulus package
1%
15
Media Release – July 8th 2009
Najib At 100 Days Survey Peninsular Malaysia, 19 June – 1 July 2009
In your view, what is the most important reform that needs to be done in Malaysia now? Revive the economy/ curb price hike Don't know
17% 15%
Fair treatment for all races Improve the economy Unity among races Improvement in policies and the education system Care for the people/ poor Address social problems and crime Stablise the national political landscape Fight corruption Development in general Others Increase job opportunities Quality of leadership and civil service Emphasize on religion Change in leadership No response The concept of One Malaysia Emphasize on democracy Transparency in administration/ govt policies Unity government Reduce influx of migrant workers
12% 8% 7% 5% 5% 4% 3% 3% 3% 3% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1%
16
Media Release – July 8th 2009
Najib At 100 Days Survey Peninsular Malaysia, 19 June – 1 July 2009
How confident or not confident are you that Najib is able to bring about reforms needed by the country? 60%
49%
47%
43% 40%
39%
26%
32%
29%
30%
23%
35% 32%
17%
Overall (1060)
16%
Malay (600)
6%
Chinese (355)
Indian (105)
DK/ NR
6% DK/ NR
Dissatisfied
1% Satisfied
DK/ NR
Dissatisfied
DK/ NR
Satisfied
11% 10%
8% Dissatisfied
0%
Satisfied
8%
36%
12%
21%
Dissatisfied
30%
18%
Satisfied
18%
45%
20%
20%
17
Media Release – July 8th 2009
Najib At 100 Days Survey Peninsular Malaysia, 19 June – 1 July 2009
Compared to …, would you say that Najib Razak's performance as PM is better, worse, or about the same? Better
Worse
About the same
Don't know/ No response
60% 50%
48%
40% 26% 18%
17%
20% 9%
21%
11%
0%
Abdullah Ahmad Badawi
Dr. Mahathir Mohamad
18
Media Release – July 8th 2009
Najib At 100 Days Survey Peninsular Malaysia, 19 June – 1 July 2009
How confident or not confident are you in the following government functions with Najib as PM?
100%
80%
60%
Very confident Somewhat not confident Don’t know/ No response
9% 20%
25%
40%
33%
10% 11%
21% 45%
13%
13%
14%
21%
20% 36%
20%
0%
13% The police
13%
Somewhat confident Not confident at all
15%
The efficiency Elections of public Commission service delivery
19%
18%
18%
14%
25%
25%
31%
29%
29%
30%
12%
10%
8%
MACC
The judiciary
Timely implementation of government project
19
Media Release – July 8th 2009
Najib At 100 Days Survey Peninsular Malaysia, 19 June – 1 July 2009
The Prime Minister had last month announced a policy to liberalize some aspects of the financial and services sectors. What do you understand by the liberalization policy? Don't know
78%
Able to attract investments/ open investments
6%
An equal economic policy across races
5%
No response
3%
To curb the economic depression, brings development etc.
2%
Others
2%
Abolishment of the 30% quota
1%
Business & job opportunities
1%
Not an effective policy
1%
Gives privileges to non-Bumiputeras
1%
Only stresses on religion
1%
20
Media Release – July 8th 2009
Najib At 100 Days Survey Peninsular Malaysia, 19 June – 1 July 2009
How confident or not confident are you that this liberalization policy will …?
100%
Very confident Somewhat not confident Don't know/ No response
20% 80%
60%
40%
6%
18% 41%
Somewhat confident Not confident at all
17% 5%
20% 5%
16%
14%
45%
39%
17%
21%
20%
0%
14%
… bring in more investment ... help Malaysia in the long and job opportunities run
… help the Malays in the long run
21
Media Release – July 8th 2009
Najib At 100 Days Survey Peninsular Malaysia, 19 June – 1 July 2009
How confident or not confident are you that the liberalization of the services sector will bring in more investment and job opportunities? 80%
61% 60%
56%
55%
55%
34% 40%
20%
Overall (1060)
Chinese (355)
Confident
7%
12%
26%
9% 4%
14% DK/ NR
7% DK/ NR
Confident
Not confident Malay (600)
27%
23%
6% DK/ NR
6% Not confident
0%
Confident
14%
20% 16%
16%
23%
Confident
18%
DK/ NR
22%
30%
Not confident
24%
48%
Not confident
39%
41%
Indian (105)
22
Media Release – July 8th 2009
Najib At 100 Days Survey Peninsular Malaysia, 19 June – 1 July 2009
How confident or not confident are you that this liberalization policy will help Malaysia in the long run? 80%
63%
64%
62%
62%
60%
28% 44%
52%
21%
16%
15%
21%
20%
Malay (600)
18% 14%
Chinese (355)
DK/ NR
4% Not confident
12% Confident
DK/ NR
Confident
DK/ NR
Not confident Overall (1060)
17% 6%
5% Confident
0%
17% 18% Not confident
17%
34% 12%
26%
10% 2% DK/ NR
20%
Not confident
45%
Confident
40%
Indian (105)
23
Media Release – July 8th 2009
Najib At 100 Days Survey Peninsular Malaysia, 19 June – 1 July 2009
How confident or not confident are you that this liberalization policy will help the Malays in the long run? 80%
69% 60%
56%
55%
60%
46% 40%
39%
38%
21%
27%
20%
Malay (600)
Chinese (355)
Confident
DK/ NR
2%
5% 1%
DK/ NR
8%
6%
10% 19%
Not confident
23%
Confident
Confident
DK/ NR
Not confident Overall (1060)
18% DK/ NR
20% 17%
5% Confident
0%
14%
Not confident
21%
36%
35%
12%
19%
Not confident
20%
Indian (105)
24
Media Release – July 8th 2009
Najib At 100 Days Survey Peninsular Malaysia, 19 June – 1 July 2009
Are you aware of the concept of One Malaysia introduced by the Prime Minister? Aware
Don’t know
No response
100%
80%
76%
81% 72% 63%
60%
37%
40%
24% 20%
28% 19% 1%
0%
Overall (1060)
Malay (600)
Chinese (355)
Indian (105)
25
Media Release – July 8th 2009
Najib At 100 Days Survey Peninsular Malaysia, 19 June – 1 July 2009
What is your understanding of the One Malaysia concept? 39%
Don't know
23%
Unity among the races
18%
Fairness and equality among the races
6%
Malaysia as one nation, no differentiation of races
5%
Others No response
2%
A slogan, political gimmick
2%
Malaysian people live in peace and harmony
2%
All races to unite and contribute to the nation
1%
A plural society
1%
Understanding and cooperation among races
1%
26
Media Release – July 8th 2009
Najib At 100 Days Survey Peninsular Malaysia, 19 June – 1 July 2009
How confident or not confident are you that One Malaysia will be able to achieve its goals? 80%
61%
59%
31%
40%
42%
36%
31%
34% 26%
21%
Overall (1060)
Malay (600)
1%
30% 18% 19% Not confident
10%
Confident
8%
DK/ NR
20% Not confident
Confident
DK/ NR
Not confident
0%
Confident
17% 12% 16% 12%
27%
Chinese (355)
Confident
23%
20%
37%
9%
8% DK/ NR
42%
DK/ NR
46%
55%
Not confident
60%
Indian (105)
27
Media Release – July 8th 2009
Najib At 100 Days Survey Peninsular Malaysia, 19 June – 1 July 2009
How confident or not confident are you that Najib has what it takes to improve race relations in Malaysia? 80%
72%
71% 60% 60%
29%
Overall (1060)
Malay (600)
Chinese (355)
17% 10%
3% Confident
8%
16% 18% Confident
7%
DK/ NR
Confident
DK/ NR
10% 10%
30%
15%
Not confident
24%
Not confident
Confident
18% 0%
36%
19%
Indian (105)
1% DK/ NR
22% 20%
27%
26%
DK/ NR
43%
42%
Not confident
40%
40%
Not confident
46%
42%
28
Media Release – July 8th 2009
Najib At 100 Days Survey Peninsular Malaysia, 19 June – 1 July 2009
How strongly do you agree or disagree with UMNO and PAS having talks on issues concerning Malay and Muslim interest? 80%
34%
54%
55% 10%
44% 27%
30%
Disagree
Agree
DK/ NR
Disagree
Agree
0%
Malay (600)
5%
34% 19%
16%
2% Disagree
8%
DK/ NR
17% 16%
20% 24%
44%
Chinese (355)
Indian (105)
DK/ NR
9%
11%
Agree
43% 17%
27%
Overall (1060)
23%
Agree
13%
20%
30%
20%
DK/ NR
40%
Disagree
60%
77%
29
Media Release – July 8th 2009
Najib At 100 Days Survey Peninsular Malaysia, 19 June – 1 July 2009
How strongly do you agree or disagree with the idea of an UMNO-PAS unity government? 80%
68%
68% 13%
60%
52%
34%
44% 42%
12%
40%
Disagree
Agree
DK/ NR
Disagree
Agree
0%
Malay (600)
7%
6% 1%
Chinese (355)
20% Agree
13%
Disagree
14%
Overall (1060)
25%
7%
40% 19%
Indian (105)
DK/ NR
13%
Agree
30%
8%
DK/ NR
34%
55%
Disagree
25%
20%
22%
29%
DK/ NR
22%
13%
30
Media Release – July 8th 2009
Najib At 100 Days Survey Peninsular Malaysia, 19 June – 1 July 2009
I will read you several statements about education. How strongly do you agree or disagree with the following statements? 100%
Strongly agree Somewhat disagree Don't know/ No response
5%
12% 80%
60%
14%
9%
9%
17%
17%
15%
15%
28%
26%
30%
32%
27%
40%
20%
Somewhat agree Strongly disagree
42%
0%
... a pass in English should be made compulsory to pass SPM
… the move to limit the number of … the teaching of mathematics and subjects in SPM to 10 science in English in primary and secondary schools
31
Media Release – July 8th 2009
Najib At 100 Days Survey Peninsular Malaysia, 19 June – 1 July 2009
How strongly do you agree or disagree with the idea of allowing former leader of the Malayan Communist Party, Chin Peng to return to Malaysia bearing in mind that other communist leaders such as Rashid Maidin & Shamsiah Fakeh had been allowed to return to the country? 100%
92% 7%
80%
61%
60% 60%
55%
6% 21% 85%
40%
30%
Overall (1060)
16%
Chinese (355)
15% Disagree
4%
Malay (600)
32%
3% 5% Disagree
3% 1%
DK/ NR
DK/ NR
Disagree
Agree
0%
5% Disagree
14%
Agree
15%
8%
14% 42%
Agree
39%
DK/ NR
10%
Indian (105)
DK/ NR
54%
Agree
26% 20%
13%
32
Media Release – July 8th 2009
Najib At 100 Days Survey Peninsular Malaysia, 19 June – 1 July 2009
What should the Prime Minister do in order to resolve the political crisis in Perak? Call for fresh elections for the state Call for by-elections at the 3 affected seats Persuade the people to accept the BN-led state government Others Don't know/ No response
80%
60%
54% 46%
44% 38%
40%
30%
20%
21% 18% 13% 4%
15%
24%
20% 12% 4%
14% 8%
4%
15% 6%
9%
0%
Overall (1060)
Malay (600)
Chinese (355)
Indian (105) 33
Media Release – July 8th 2009
Najib At 100 Days Survey Peninsular Malaysia, 19 June – 1 July 2009
Has your confidence in the future of the country improved or declined since Najib became Prime Minister? 77%
80%
63% 56% 54%
40%
40%
49%
Overall (1060)
Malay (600)
Indian (105)
DK/ NR
Remained the same
Remained the same
Improved
DK/ NR
Declined
Chinese (355)
23% 9% 15% 12% 7% 2% 2% Declined
11% 28%
Remained the same
DK/ NR
Remained the same
Improved
0%
11%
10% 18% 13% 14% 16% 10% 10% 3% 4% 7% 1% Declined
11%
36% 18%
Improved
13%
Declined
20%
DK/ NR
45%
Improved
60%
34