Christopher Adolph

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UE-121697, UG-121705, UE-130137, UG-130138 Exhibit No. CAA-2 1 of 14

Christopher Adolph Gowen Hall  Department of Political Science and Center for Statistics and the Social Sciences University of Washington Seattle, WA , USA faculty.washington.edu/cadolph [email protected]

Education Harvard University

Ph.D., Political Science, March  A.M., Political Science, June  Dissertation: “The Dilemma of Discretion: Career Ambitions and the Politics of Central Banking.” Advisors: Torben Iversen, James Alt, and Michael Hiscox. Rice University

B.A., summa cum laude, ΦΒΚ, Political Science, Economics, and History, May 

Academic Appointments University of Washington

Associate Professor of Political Science September –present Adjunct Associate Professor of Statistics Core Faculty Member of the Center for Statistics and the Social Sciences University of Washington

Assistant Professor of Political Science September –August  Adjunct Assistant Professor of Statistics Core Faculty Member of the Center for Statistics and the Social Sciences

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  · Curriculum Vitae University of Michigan, Ann Arbor

obert Wood Johnson Scholar in Health Policy esearch

August –July 

Honors, Grants, and Fellowships Charles H. Levine Memorial Prize (International Political Science Association) for best book on comparative public policy and administration,  Center for Statistics and the Social Sciences (CSSS) Seed Grant,  Who’s Who In America, –present Dean’s commendation for consistently high teaching evaluations, –, –, – Sage Award for Best Article in European Union Politics,  obert Wood Johnson Scholar in Health Policy, – Mancur Olson Award (American Political Science Association) for best dissertation in political economy,  Senator Charles Sumner Dissertation Prize, Harvard University,  Center for Basic esearch in the Social Sciences (CBSS) Dissertation Completion Fellowship, – Doctoral Fellow of the Harvard University Multidisciplinary Program in Inequality and Social Policy; NSF IGET-funded Fellowship, – Harvard Summer Language Fellowship,  National Science Foundation (NSF) Graduate Fellowship, –

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  · Curriculum Vitae

Books Christopher Adolph. . Bankers, Bureaucrats, and Central Bank Politics: The Myth of Neutrality. Cambridge Studies in Comparative Politics. Cambridge University Press. 2014 Charles H. Levine Memorial Prize for best book on comparative public policy and administration, awarded by IPSA & Governance Reviewed in

Financial History eview, (), –. International Journal of Constitutional Law, (). Journal of Economic Literature, (), -. Journal of Global Faultlines, (). Journal of Politics, (), E. evue française de science politique, (). The International Spectator, (), –.

Peer-Reviewed Articles Paula Lantz, Jeffrey Alexander, Christopher Adolph, and JoLynn Montgomery. . “State Government Organization of Health Services, -: Correlates and Consequences.” Journal of Public Health Management and Practice. Vol. (). March/April. –. Margaret Levi, Christopher Adolph, Daniel Berliner, Aaron Erlich, Anne Greenleaf, Milli Lake, and Jennifer Noveck. . “Aligning ights and Interests: Why, When, and How to Uphold Labor Standards.” World Development eport : Jobs Background Paper. Washington, D.C.: World Bank. Christopher Adolph, Scott L. Greer, and Elize Massard da Fonseca. . “Allocation of Authority in European Health Policy.” Social Science and Medicine. Vol. (). – . Victor Shih, Christopher Adolph, and Mingxing Liu. . “Getting Ahead in the Communist Party: Explaining the Advancement of Central Committee Members in China.” American Political Science eview. Vol. (). February. –. Reprinted in

Anthony Saich, ed., forthcoming, The Politics and Governance of China, Cheltenham, UK: Edward Elgar.

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  · Curriculum Vitae

Scott Greer, Elize Massard da Fonseca, and Christopher Adolph. . “Mobilizing Bias in Europe.” European Union Politics. Vol (). –. 2008 Sage Prize for Best Article in European Union Politics

Christopher Adolph and Gary King, with Michael Herron and Kenneth Shotts. . “A Consensus on Second Stage Analyses of Ecological Inference Models.” Political Analysis. Vol . –. Christopher Adolph and Gary King. . “Analyzing Second Stage Ecological egressions.” Political Analysis. Vol. . –.

Other Publications Christopher Adolph. . “Visual Interpretation and Presentation of Monte Carlo esults.” The Political Methodologist. Vol. (). –. Christopher Adolph. . “Party Schools.” American Prospect. December . – .

In Progress “Legal Protections for Dating Partners and Intimate Partner Homicide,” with Miriam Alvarez, Emmanuela Gakidou, and Ali Mokdad (Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, Washington). “Something’s Got to Give: The Political Economy of State Budget Trade-offs,” with Christian Breunig and Chris Koski. “Career Advancement in the British Civil Service.” With Scott Greer (Michigan, Public Health) and Holly Jarman (Albany, Political Science). “Leadership Advancement in the International Longshore and Warehouse Union.” With Margaret Levi (Washington) and Amanda Clayton (Washington). “The Shanghai Effect: Do Exports to China Affect Labor ights in Africa?” With Aseem Prakash and Vanessa uince (Washington).

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  · Curriculum Vitae

Teaching University of Washington, 2004–2007, 2009–present

POLS 205

Political Science as a Social Science

STAT/SOC/CSSS 221

Statistical Concepts and Methods for the Social Sciences

CSSS/SOC/STAT 321

Case-Based Social Statistics I

POLS/ECON 409

Politics and the Economy





,  , 

Political Economy of the Great ecession and its Aftermath 

POLS 501

uantitative Political Methodology I 

POLS/CSSS 503 POLS/CSSS 510

uantitative Political Metholodogy II

, , , , , 

Maximum Likelihood Methods for the Social Sciences

, , , , , 

SOC/CSSS/STAT 536

Analysis of Categorical Data

CSSS 569

Visualizing Data

, , 

, , , , , , 

University of Essex Summer School in Social Science Data Analysis, 2009–present

Course 2i

Panel Data Analysis for Comparative esearch , , , , , , 

Invited short courses

Visualizing Model Inference and obustness CEACS, Instituto Juan March, Madrid · November –, 

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  · Curriculum Vitae

Mentoring University of Washington political science Ph.D.’s graduated (current position):

*     

Twelve formal Ph.D. committees in political science Amanda Clayton · Freie Universitat Berlin, Postdoctoral Fellow Sijeong Lim · Stockholm University, Postdoctoral Fellow Loren Collingwood · UC–iverside, Asst. Prof. Political Science Daniel Berliner · University of Minnesota, Asst. Prof. of Political Science John Ahlquist · University of Wisconsin, Assoc. Prof. of Political Science

Other University of Washington Ph.D.’s graduated (current position):

*   

Six formal Ph.D. committees in other disciplines Ji Youn (ose) Kim · Business · Univ. of Kentucky, Asst. Prof. Sui Luo · Economics · Capital Univ. of Econ. & Bus. (Beijing), Asst. Prof. Santosh Srivastava† · Applied Math · Fred Hutchison Cancer es. Ctr. † indicates nominal service as a Graduate School epresentative

Harvard University senior thesis advisees (current position):

 Alexander Kuo · Cornell University, Asst. Prof. Political Science

Software Primary developer and maintainer of three R packages: tile simcf partialrank

Graphical system for model interpretation and data exploration Flexible counterfactual set-up and simulation for estimated models egression models for partially observed rank data

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  · Curriculum Vitae

Academic Service Department of Political Science, University of Washington, 2004–2007, 2009–present

Methods Field Supervisor, –, – Co-organizer, Symposium Honoring Margaret Levi,  Political Methodology Search Committee, –, – Graduate Admissions Committee, –, – Website Design Committee, – Technology Committee, – Lev Senior Thesis Award Committee, – Ad hoc Committee on Undergraduate Awards, – Undergraduate Program Committee, – Center for Statistics and the Social Sciences, University of Washington, 2004–2007, 2009–present

Seminar Director, – Executive Committee, –present Blalock Award Committee, –, –present Social Coordinator, – Other University of Washington service, 2004–2007, 2009–present

Faculty Affiliate, Center for Comparative and Historical Analysis of Organizations and States (CHAOS), –present Steering Committee, Center for Social Science Computation and esearch (CSSC), –present External eview Committee, Center for Social Science Computation and esearch (CSSC), – eviewer, oyalty esearch Fund, , 

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  · Curriculum Vitae

Public Service Expert witness on ecological inference and the statistical analysis of elections in Borders v. King County, which contested the  Washington gubernatorial election. Positive verdict; unappealed. Expert witness on ecological inference and the statistical analysis of elections in Sarantou v. Lucas County, Ohio, which contested the  Lucas County comissioner election. Positive outcome; case dropped by plaintiff. esearch analyst for consultants and expert witnesses in fourteen redistricting lawsuits, –.

Professional Activities Member of American Political Science Association, International Studies Association, Society for Political Methodology, and American Statistical Association. eferee for American Journal of Political Science, American Political Science eview, Comparative Political Studies, Journal of Politics, Party Politics, Perspectives on Politics, Political Analysis, Political Science esearch and Methods, PS: Political Science & Politics, Public Choice, Social Science uarterly, Sociological Methods and esearch, and Statistical Analysis and Data Mining. Steering Committee, PoliInformatics Network (PI-NET), –. Panel Chair, “Positive Political Economy of China and Vietnam,” Annual Meetings of the Midwest Political Science Association, Chicago, April . Panel Discussant, “Labor Unions, Wage Bargaining, and Inequality,” Annual Meetings of the Midwest Political Science Association, Chicago, April . Panel Chair, “New Frontiers in uantitative Chinese Politics esearch,” Annual Meetings of the Midwest Political Science Association, Chicago, April . Panel Discussant, “All Politics Is Local: Migrants, Counties, and Governance in China,” Annual Meetings of the Midwest Political Science Association, Chicago, April . Revised October 28, 2014

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  · Curriculum Vitae

Panel Discussant, Tenth Anniversary Conference of the Center for Statistics and the Social Sciences, University of Washington, Seattle, June . Participant, Annual Meeting of the obert Wood Johnson Scholars in Health Policy esearch, Aspen, Colorado, May . Participant, Annual Meeting of the obert Wood Johnson Scholars in Health Policy esearch, Aspen, Colorado, May . Participant, Image and Meaning 2, Los Angeles, July . Discussant, Comparative Political Economy Poster Session, Annual Meetings of the Midwest Political Science Association, Chicago,  April  . Panel Chair, “New Approaches to the Welfare State,” European Political Economy Workshop, Center for European Studies, Harvard University, November –, .

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  · Curriculum Vitae

Presentations “The Shanghai Effect: Do Exports to China Affect Labor ights in Africa?” With Vanessa uince and Aseem Prakash. Presented at the Annual Meetings of the Midwest Political Science Association, Chicago,  April ; Symposium Honoring Margaret Levi, University of Washington, Seattle,  October . “Modeling Bureaucratic Careers: Advancement, Policy, and Performance.” Invited presentation in the Comparative Public Policy Speaker Series, Department of Political Science, Texas A&M University,  March . “Tufte without Tears: Simple tools for visual exploration and presentation of regression models.” Invited presentation at the Social Development esearch Group, November , ; the Joint Statistical Meetings, Denver, August ; and the Center for Statistics and the Social Sciences, University of Washington,  January . “Getting Ahead in the Communist Party: Explaining the Advancement of Central Committee Members in China.” With Victor Shih and Mingxing Liu. Presented at Center for Statistics and the Social Sciences, University of Washington, October , University of Chicago, November , and Annual Meetings of the American Political Science Association, Boston, September . “Health Policy Priorities in Hard Times: A Compositional Model of Budget Trade-offs in the States.” Paper presented at the Annual Meeting of the obert Wood Johnson Scholars in Health Policy esearch, Aspen, May . “Something’s Got to Give: The Political Economy of State Budget Trade-offs.” Paper presented at the Annual Meetings of the American Political Science Association, Boston, MA, , and Annual Meetings of the Midwest Political Science Association, Chicago,  April . “Exit, Advancement, and Loyalty in the Central Bank: The Political Economy of Central Banker Tenures,.” Paper presented at the Annual Meetings of the Midwest Political Science Association, Chicago,  April . “The Dilemma of Discretion: Career Ambitions and the Politics of Central Banking.” Invited Comparative Historical Analysis of Organizations and States (CHAOS) seminar, University of Washington, – February . Revised October 28, 2014

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  · Curriculum Vitae

“Statistical Issues in the  Washington Gubernatorial Election Contest.” With Mark Handcock. Presented at the Center for Statistics and the Social Sciences, University of Washington,  November . “Three simple tests of career influences on monetary policy.” Paper presented at the Annual Meetings of the American Political Science Association, Washington, D.C., September . “What Time Series Cross-Section Estimator Should I Use Now? Guidance from Monte Carlo Experiments.” With Daniel Butler and Sven Wilson. Paper presented at the Annual Meetings of the American Political Science Association, Washington, D.C., September, ; paper presented at the Annual Meetings of the Midwest Political Science Association, Chicago,  April . “Succession in the Temple: Central Banker Careers and the Politics of Appointment.” Paper presented at the Annual Meetings of the Midwest Political Science Association, Chicago, April , ; at the Center for Statistics and the Social Sciences Seminar, March , ; poster presented at Summer Meetings of the Society for Political Methodology, Stanford University, July . “The Dilemma of Discretion: Career Ambitions, Policy Preferences, and the Politics of Money.” Poster presented at Multidisciplinary Program on Inequality and Social Policy Summer Institute, Cambridge, MA,  June . “The Uses of Autonomy: Central Bankers’ Careers, Institutional Context, and Economic Performance.” Presented at the Annual Meeting of the Midwest Political Science Association, Chicago IL,  April . “Paper Autonomy, Private Ambition: Central Bankers’ Careers and the Economy.” Presented at Yale University (November ), ice University (November ), Penn State University (December ), the University of Washington (December ), New York University (February ), the Annual Meeting of the American Political Science Association, Philadelphia, PA, August , and at the Comparative Political Economy Workshop, Cornell University, – October .

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  · Curriculum Vitae

“Central Bankers’ Careers and Inflation: esults from  Countries.” Presented at the Annual Meeting of the American Political Science Association, Boston MA, August . “Parties, Unions, and Central Banks: An Interactive
Revised October 28, 2014

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  · Curriculum Vitae

Media Coverage Below are news articles, op-eds, and blog posts ∗ commenting on my research or drawing on † interviews with me. Central banking †

Michael Knigge. “Yin or yang for the Fed?” Deutsche Welle. August , . dw.de/ p/19Ohq. ∗

José Fernández Albertos. “La neutralidad de los bancos centrales.” El Diario. July , . www.eldiario.es/piedrasdepapel/neutralidad-bancos-centrales_6_151594861. html ∗

Lars Christensen. “Christopher Adolph on the politics of central banking.” The Market Monetarist. February , . marketmonetarist.com/2012/02/17/christopheradolph-on-the-politics-of-central-banking ∗

José Fernández Albertos. “Astérix, Spiderman y el Banco de España.” El País. October , . elpais.com/diario/2011/10/17/opinion/1318802411_850215.html ∗

Howard Davies. “The Bank should pick a deputy for our times.” Financial Times. May , . www.ft.com/cms/s/0/ede850e0-2cdd-11dd-88c6-000077b07658. html#axzz2Ho8UKA4s

Chinese politics ∗

Yasheng Huang. “Democratize or die: Why China’s Communists face reform or revolution.” Foreign Affairs. January/February, . (). www.foreignaffairs.com/ articles/138477/yasheng-huang/democratize-or-die ∗

Eric Voeten. “How to Get Ahead in China’s Communist Party.” The Monkey Cage. March , . themonkeycage.org/2012/03/23/how-to-get-ahead-in-chinascommunist-party

Trade and Labor ∗

Henry Farrell. “Supply Chains and Labor ights.” The Monkey Cage. December , . http://themonkeycage.org/2012/12/20/supply-chains-and-labour-rights Revised October 28, 2014

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  · Curriculum Vitae ∗

Eric Voeten. “More on Trade and Labor ights.” The Monkey Cage. December , . themonkeycage.org/2012/12/20/more-on-trade-and-labor-rights

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Christopher Adolph

UE-121697, UG-121705, UE-130137, UG-130138 Exhibit No. CAA-2 1 of 14 Christopher Adolph Gowen Hall  Department of Political Science and Center for...

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Christopher Baik | Seelio
Jan 18, 2016 - I worked on this as my senior design project in EECS 497 with Aaron Sobieray and Brendan Dailey. Our proj

In Concert. - Christopher Busietta
Aug 27, 2017 - De miei bollenti spiriti (La Traviata). BREAK (10 MINUTES). Mozart. Abendempfindung an Laura (K. 523). Be

Christopher Alexander - Dreamsongs
It is not possible to make great buildings, or great towns, beautiful places, places where you feel yourself, places whe

Lamb – Christopher Moore
“Christopher Moore's impish, madcap addition to the New Testament …LAMB is an earnest comedy in the style of Woody A

Evaluation - Christopher P. Porter
UF Faculty Evaluations. Page 1 of 3 https://evaluations.ufl.edu/evals/evals/evaluation/results.aspx?e=348018. Evaluation

Christopher Pelling - USU
Christopher Pelling, University of Oxford (chrispelling(@classics.ox.ac.uk). With classical authors, especially Aeschylu

DAFTAR PUSTAKA Adolph MD, Frier KA, Stawicki SP - ETD UGM
Apr 22, 2016 - Educational modules for the critical care communication (C3) course-A communication skills training progr

by Christopher Hitchens
god is notgreat by Christopher Hitchens. Contents. One - Putting It Mildly. 03. Two - Religion Kills. 07. Three - A Shor